Surplus
and capital formation
By Henry
CK Liu
This is the fifth article in a
multi-part series.
Part
1: In
the beginning was Tiananmen
Part 2:
Revolutionary
lessons
Part 3:
Lessons
of the Soviet experience
Part 4:
Mao's
legacy lives on
For an underdeveloped feudal economy
transitioning towards a modern industrial growth path, one that is
not isolated by hostile forces such as foreign embargos, the problem
is not that economic surplus being too small, but that the way the
economic surplus is produced and appropriated is not conducive to
capital formation.
In feudal economies, the main forms of
economic surplus are land rent, usury interest rates and middleman
profit. Only a small part of the surplus is capitalist profit in
feudal economies - because land assets have not found ways to become
monetized capital, which remained trapped in land that was not
commercially traded.
Participants in the feudal economy, its
agrarian sector in particular, were predominantly landlords,
moneylenders and commodity traders, while capitalists played no major
role. The participants in a feudal economy produced their surpluses
from narrow direct financial margins by rack-renting tenant farmers,
squeezing debtors through usurious interest rates, hoarding to
manipulate prices, and so forth, but the surplus was not invested to
increase productivity or output.
This type of surplus were
merely income transfers from the property-less class to the class
that monopolized property in the form of land or money, and who had
little incentive to improving productivity. Landlords
in feudal societies were generally conservatives who
felt threatened by changes, even changes towards productivity. They
consumed their surplus through non-agricultural construction such as
luxurious goods and grand estates. Traders
by definition were not interested in increasing
production, only in high profit margins. Usurers
were interested only in transferring to themselves, from
distressed debtors, ownership of collateralized assets that required
no further capital investment.
At the time of the founding of
the People's Republic in 1949, China's feudal economy was producing
surpluses that were mostly socio-economically unproductive. The
developmental problem then was:
how to transform these structural socio-economic unproductive forms of surplus into new productive forms, leading to a rise in capital formation and hence in national income.
Conservative Method:
Under capitalism, the approach
to transformation was a conservative, socially elitist and narrowly
based one of reforming but preserving the
system of landed private property. Land
reform took the path of paying financial compensation to landlords,
and redistributing the land thus acquired through the market by
selling to those who had money to buy. [Our
'eminent domain'. -FNC] This method
structurally limited land redistribution to a minority with money, or
with access to money, and excluded the majority of the peasants who
worked on the land and who needed land most. Thus, capitalism of the
landed elite was promoted at the expense of a broad-based peasant
socialization of capital.
Revolutionary Method:
By contrast, the revolutionary
socialist path was a socio-economically broad-based one
of abolishing private ownership and the associated system of rent and
interest on debt. This was achieved by seizing the landed property of
rentiers without compensation,
namely confiscating it in the name of the people, followed by a free
and egalitarian redistribution to peasants who actually worked on the
land, and writing off all outstanding confiscatory mortgages. Given
their improved economic status, the peasants then would evolve
capitalist efficiency production "from below".
Example,
Japan:
In Japan, the conservative path was exemplified by
the Meiji land reform during 1869 to 1873, which abolished the feudal
right to rent-cum-tax of the nobility (daimyo
and the samurai)
only by paying them compensation, namely, the capitalized value of
their rents as cash and bonds; and then taxed the farmers heavily to
finance the compensation.
After World War II, US occupation
regime in Japan under General Douglas MacArthur, whom historian
William Manchester labeled an American Caesar, instituted land reform
in 1945, under which all land with resident lords in excess of one
cho (2.45 acres) was
acquired and redistributed to the tenants on it at a nominal payment,
while absentee landlords were not allowed to keep even one cho,
but had to surrender all their land for redistribution.
The
insistence of the US occupation regime in Japan in the post-war
period on land reform, up to that time the most comprehensive ever in
Asia, arose from US perception that the twin pillars of Japanese
militarism had rested on the zaibatsu,
monopolistic conglomerate, and the prevalence of petty tenancy as
opposed to owner-occupied land.
Example, Soviet Union:
In contrast, the revolutionary
path was exemplified by the confiscation and free distribution of
land in the Soviet Union after 1917, and by the land reform in China
after 1949. In this revolutionary approach, the egalitarian and free
distribution of land to peasant households was thought of as the
successful completion of an essentially capitalist task of doing away
with feudal property, and as a transitional phase to the eventual
establishment of production cooperatives and collectives, in which
individual ownership of the material means of production would be
replaced by cooperative and collective ownership in enlarged units.
Example, China:
Prior to land reform in China in 1952, the total of
landlord net income in rural areas by way of land rent, usury
interest and profit amounted to 16.9% of the value added in
agriculture. Adding a 2.1% tax paid by land owners, a total of 19% of
value added in agriculture (9.39 billion yuan at 1952 prices) was
taken from the farming peasants. Of this total, some 4.5 billion yuan
was retained by farming peasants after land reform and 4.9 billion
went to the government in new taxes.
Thus the peasants
benefited, and at the same time the new socialist state had access to
resources released by land reform to support socialist construction
which included road building, hydroelectricity development, free
education and health care. This transfer of surplus from the agrarian
sector to the state budget, expressed as a percentage of total gross
and net domestic investment in the economy in 1952, amounted to 34.7%
and 44.8%. Land reform thus contributed significantly to needed
development finance.
Yet further capital formation for
socialist development needed to come from development planning since
the increased income of peasants after land reform, while in theory
could provide more saving for investment, was too low and given the
residual abysmally low standard of living of the peasants before land
reform, all the additional income from land reform was immediately
consumed, for on a per family basis it worked out only to about 55
yuan in 1952.
Thus egalitarian land reform, while eliminating
a parasitic landlord and taxation system, did not in itself generate
a rapid rise in productive investment needed for output growth. In
effect, poverty was being equitably shared by egalitarian land reform
unsupported by wealth creation government measures.
Yet
egalitarianism by itself is never the cause of poverty or prosperity.
It is just that egalitarianism can enhance prosperity more
effectively when effective wealth creation policies are functioning.
A case in point in history is that of the
founding Civil Emperor of the Sui dynasty (518-618), who,
after his coronation, took 5,000 buffalos from government lots and
distributed them free to impoverished farmers, helping to restore
farm production. He also opened state land reserves to the landless,
forbade the military to draft men under the age of 21, reduced the
annual tax burden by as much as 80%, shared with the people revenues
from state monopolies on wine and salt, exempted the elderly, those
over 50, from taxes and reduced the state's take from farm harvests
by one third. A central bureaucracy was established and staffed with
literati selected on merit through public examinations. As a result,
within a few years of his socialist reign, the economy recovered
totally from three centuries of war and destruction and grew with
unprecedented prosperity. By the final year of his 15-year reign, the
state grain reserve was so large that it was sufficient to feed the
nation for the next 60 years, albeit the population was only 50
million in size.
In recent centuries, both as a result of
population growth and shrinkage of territory from persistent Western
imperialist encroachments, China has become an agricultural economy
deficient in cultivatable land for the size of its population. Thus
China, like England in earlier centuries, must
either adopt an industrial policy to support agricultural imports, or
an emigration policy, or a population policy.
In the
socialist perspective, land reform in itself is a bourgeois measure
taking socioeconomic evolution no further than the French Revolution
had over two centuries ago. Land reform constituted a necessary
condition for further institutional change towards a cooperative
society.
The urgent need to amalgamate peasant efforts for
the purpose of socialist investment is underscored by the
accelerating level of environmental degradation and deforestation in
China before 1949 and after 1979. Countering the massive problems of
large-scale deforestation, soil erosion and land degradation could
not be realistically done on an individual basis or through the
market mechanism. It requires the socialization of hundreds of
millions of individual households on a network of local projects, not
driven by individual profit incentives but by a unified sense of
national purpose.
In 1949, abysmally low standards of public sanitation
and health care and the prevalence of epidemic diseases from
snail-infested canals and mosquito-infested water called for a
massive collective investment effort towards cleaning up the
environment and initiating a health care system to provide service to
those who needed it regardless of their purchasing power. Since 1979,
public social infrastructure in education, health and pension has
been allowed by policy to regress towards pre-1949 levels.
Latent
economic surplus trapped by unemployment and underemployment
Marx
observed that the internal contradiction of capitalism is not the
competition it fosters or its indifference to inequality. Rather, it
is the structural problem of surplus labor which, under the labor
theory of value, translates into surplus value. To Marx, capitalism
is a self-terminating system because it structurally deprives the
worker of a significant portion of the value of his work. Capitalism
is built on the concept that value is a function of marginal utility
which justifies the exploitation of many by a few.
For
Marxists, it follows that latent surplus value can be mobilized for
the purpose of capital formation by the reduction of unemployment and
underemployment of labor. In China, this is particularly true for
rural labor. Neoclassical economics, based on the concept of
scarcity, invented the concept of surplus labor, deriving from the
concept of surplus people as those who are economically unnecessary.
Market fundamentalism creates in market economies the phenomenon of
labor with zero marginal utility. This views flies in the face of
reality that nations with large populations are economic powerhouses
if full employment is ensured by policy. (See Scarcity
economics and overcapacity Asia Times Online, July 28, 2005. )
The fallacy comes
from treating labor as a commodity to be
traded in the market, a residual mentality of the slave society.
Economics exists for the benefit of people. People exist as a matter
of nature, not for making any economic system more efficient. The
very idea of surplus people in an economy is obscene.
Market operations cannot deal effectively with the employment
problem as long as employment is restricted to boosting narrow
economic efficiency through a market mechanism. Full
employment must be a goal
in all economic systems, not
structural unemployment, as in the concept
of non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU), defined
as the rate of unemployment at which i) there is neither upward
pressure on inflation (from producers taking advantage of the market
power given them by bottlenecks, and from workers using the market
power provided by a tight labor market to try to realize wage growth
aspirations higher than the rate of productivity growth); nor ii)
downward pressure on inflation (from customers taking advantage of
the market power given them by excess capacity, and from firms using
the market power provided by high unemployment to try to decrease the
rate of wage growth).
Market capitalism thus falls short
because it must use unemployment as a device to restrain inflation.
Excess capital formation derived from unemployment and
underemployment leads structurally to overcapacity due to demand
rising at a slower rate than productivity from overinvestment.
Capital formation can also be achieved with a system of
voluntary deferred wages, wherein every worker agrees to work longer
hours without corresponding increases in pay in order to accumulate
capital with which to increase productivity, so that less labor can
command higher wages in the future.
However, such
a system will only work if the capital so accumulated is collectively
owned and the benefits of additional productivity are equitably
shared among workers who made the
temporary sacrifice. Thus mobilizing voluntary economic surplus
towards capital formation can only take place in a socialist system.
Under a capitalist system of private ownership of the means of
production, only oppression of workers can produce capital formation.
In China in the 1950s, cooperatives with 300 households and
people's communes with 3,500 households played a key role in
voluntary mobilization of economic surplus toward productive capital
formation to increase productivity.
During the crucial period
of the transition to advanced
cooperatives, an awareness of the
potential of cooperatives to mobilize surplus labor
was recorded in Mao's writings.
The Transition to Advanced Cooperatives
In 1954, Mao wrote:
"Under present conditions of production, there is already a
surplus of roughly one-third of labor power. What required three
people in the past can be done by two after cooperative
transformation, an indication of the superiority of socialism. Where
can an outlet be found for this surplus labor power of one-third or
more? For the most part, still in the countryside. ... The masses
have unlimited creative power. They can organize themselves to take
on all spheres and branches of work where they can give full play to
their energy, tackle production more intensively and extensively, and
initiate more and more undertaking for their own well being."
(Mao Zedong, Selected Works,
Beijing, Foreign Languages Press, 1978, p269.)
Local
adaptations and variations were to take place within a broad national
policy of promoting undertakings in the following sectors: physical
capital formation via land reclamation, hill terracing, reforestation
and irrigation; infrastructure (roads, bridges and buildings);
hydroelectric energy; rural businesses and industries; and human
capital formation (public sanitation, health clinics and schools).
The possibilities were certainly nearly limitless at this
time, given the existing abysmally low levels of material,
educational and health development in the countryside. On land
reclamation and reforestation, Mao Zedong stressed the need for
"state organized land reclamation by settlers, the plan being to
bring 400 to 500 m. mu [3 million hectares] of wasteland under
cultivation in the course of three five-year plans".
He
went on to say: "I think the barren mountains in the north in
particular should be afforested, and they undoubtedly can be. Do you
comrades from the north have courage enough for this? Many places in
the south need reforestation too. It will be fine if in a number of
years we can see various places in the south and north clothed with
greenery."
Mao Zedong confidently expected, even within
the advanced cooperatives and before full collectivization, that the
annual labor days employed per worker would rise substantially and
that female participation rates would also rise as more rural
undertakings were established, existing labor surplus thereby
mobilized and increasing supply elicited:
"Before the
cooperative transformation of agriculture, surplus labor-power was a
problem in many parts of the country. Since then, many cooperatives
have felt the pinch of a labor shortage and need to mobilize the
masses of the women, who did not work in the fields before, to take
their place on the labor front ... For many places, the labor
shortage becomes evident as production grows in scale, the number of
undertakings increases, the efforts to remake nature become more
extensive and intensive, and the work is done more thoroughly."
Further, he goes on to say: "Things in this country also
show us that an outlet can be found in the villages for rural labor
power. As management improves and the scope of production expands,
every able-bodied man and woman can put in more work-days in the
year. Instead of over 100 workdays for a man and a few score for a
woman as described in this article, the former can put in well over
200 workdays and the latter well over 100 or more."
The timing of the shift to the large-scale communes
was not a happy one; it coincided with a run of very poor harvests,
complicated by floods in some parts of the country and attacks of
pests in others. There was a very substantial downward deviation of
output from the trend during 1959 to 1963, and this has complicated
the evaluation of the shift ever since.
There is a severe
problem of causal identification here: it is arguable that even
without the institutional change to communes, output would have
fallen anyway, for agricultural output is subject to cyclical
patterns of movement. Many Western scholars who are disposed to
criticize the idea of large-scale collective production have,
however, tended incorrectly to place the main burden of the output
decline on the shift to the communes. What is probably true is first,
that the decline which would have taken place anyway, was exacerbated
by the initial severe management problems entailed in the shift.
The geopolitics of the Sino-Soviet split was a key factor. In
1960, the Soviet Government unilaterally broke up 600 aid contracts
with China, and notified the Chinese government that it would
withdrew all its 1,390 experts and stop sending the agreed upon 900
new experts. The Soviet experts left with all their blueprints, plans
and materials. The Soviet government also stopped delivering urgently
needed equipment and parts to China. As result, the construction and
operation of over 250 large industrial enterprises had to be
suspended. This put a halt to heavy industrial development and
greatly exacerbated China's economic difficulties in the following
decade.
Since 1979, average income in
rural areas has lagged far behind the average in cities,
giving China one of the highest income disparity measures in the
world. Many farmers still work on tiny, state-allocated plots of land
for a small fraction of the year, investing little in agriculture.
While they are entitled to 30-year land-use contracts, the state
retains ownership of rural land, and local authorities sometimes
seize or reallocate farm land to suit their non-agricultural
development priorities.
Rural land disputes are perhaps the
biggest source of social unrest in China. Protests and riots in rural
areas number in the thousands each year, according to national police
estimates. They are often incited by allegations of corruption and
illegal land seizures.
Many farmers leave the land to seek
work in cities, but they are still classified as farmers under the
country's population control policies and tend to work in low-wage
factory or construction jobs on a seasonal basis.
Advocates
for land reform say the proposed changes would create more asset
wealth for farmers and strengthen land security, which would in turn
encourage peasants to invest in farming and increase productivity.
A law enacted in 2002 allows limited land-use trades between
individual farmers but does not permit unrestricted trade between
farmers and companies, straight sales of land-use rights, or the
option to use the land as collateral to obtain a loan.
The
major state news organizations reported in October 2008 that rural
land reform was at the top of the agenda for a meeting at the time of
communist party leaders. China Daily, the country's official
English-language newspaper, reported, "The meeting is expected
to make it easier for farmers to lease or transfer the management
rights of their land, measures that have become necessary as many
farmers move to cities as migrant workers."
As the New
York Times reported in October 2008, "Private ownership of land
is not allowed under the constitution, and rural land is still
effectively controlled by township- and village-level leaders.
Officials characterize the proposed policy changes as allowing the
farmers to lease or trade their 30-year land-use contracts to
individuals or companies.
"The issue remains a delicate
one. Many party traditionalists strongly favor collective land
ownership. They have argued that China's economy is still not robust
enough to absorb hundreds of millions of rural laborers full time.
They also defend the system of allocating small plots of land to all
rural families as guaranteeing farmers at least a subsistence income.
"But repeated efforts to enliven the rural economy
without freeing up land have failed, and proponents of moving toward
partial privatization appear to have the upper hand. One point under
discussion is whether land contracts should be extended to 70 years
from 30 years, scholars say, a move that would give farmers more
security and presumably increase the value of their land-use rights."
In the Soviet Union, the percentage of planned output
achieved by important industries at the end of successive five-year
plans, in "value-added" terms, was impressive. The first
five-year plan (1928-32) achieved 75% of its target, the second
(1932-37), 76%. The plan ending in 1950 achieved 94% and 1955
achieved 99%. Yet the area of trouble in Soviet planning was in
agriculture, not so much in the state farms but in the collective
farms made of small farmers. The knotty problem of reward and
incentive in collective enterprise has yet to be solved by human
ingenuity. The same was also true in China. When China abandoned
collective farming, the agricultural problem also eased, but it was
not solved, even today. In the US, free-market principles never
touched agriculture, which has remained a fortress of government
subsidy.
On June 27, 1981, the sixth plenary session of the
11th Central Committee Congress of Communist Party of China adopted
unanimously an official resolution on certain question related to the
Founding of the Nation: Concerning economic development during the
Mao Zedong era:
"The accomplishment we have achieved over
the past 32 years is still significant. To neglect or denied our
accomplishment, and to neglect or deny the successful experience we
gained from these achievements, would be a serious mistake.
"From
1953 to 1956, the nation's gross value of industrial output on
average increased progressively every year by 19.6%. The total
agricultural output value on average increased progressively every
year by 4.8%. The economic development was relatively rapid, the
economic effect relatively good and the proportional balance between
the major sectors of the economy relative well coordinated. The
market was prosperous with price stability. The livelihood of the
people improved remarkably.
"In April, 1956, Comrade Mao
Zedong summarized in his speech 'Discusses Ten Big Relations' our
country's initial socialist construction experience, and proposed the
task of exploring a path towards socialist construction that would
suit our national conditions.
"After the completion of
basic socialist transformation, our party leads all of the nation's
various nationalities to start to change over to the comprehensive
large-scale socialist construction. Until the eve of the decade-long
Great Cultural Revolution, despite having encountered serious
setbacks, we still achieved the very great accomplishments.
"A
very major part of the material and technical foundation we now
depend on to carry on the program of modernization had been built
during that period. The backbone strength behind the effort for
national economic cultural construction and their work experience had
also been mostly cultivated and accumulated in this period. This had
been the Party's main task in this period."
On top of
rising income, farmers during the Cultural Revolution decade enjoyed
free education and free rudimentary health care, which they never
enjoyed before or after. In 1965, with the launch of the Cultural
Revolution, Mao expanded the idea of health for the masses beyond
infectious disease. Mao proclaimed: "In health and medical work,
put the stress on rural areas." With that, China's cadre of
"barefoot doctors" was born. These health care programs
were called "rural cooperative medical systems" and strove
to include community participation with the rural provision of health
services. It became a model health care program much admired and
copied by the world's developing countries.
A peasant
medical force
Hundred of thousand of peasants, young men and
women mostly in their 20s with some general education, were selected
for an intensive three- to six-month course in medical training. They
were instructed in anatomy, bacteriology, diagnosing disease,
acupuncture, prescribing traditional and Western medicines, birth
control and maternal and infant care. They came to be known as
barefoot doctors because some of them were not even equipped with
shoes.
The barefoot doctors
continued their farming work in the commune fields, working alongside
their comrades. Their proximity also made them readily available to
help those in need. They provided basic health care: first aid,
immunizations against diseases such as diphtheria, whooping cough and
measles. They provided health education. They taught hygiene as basic
as washing hands before eating and after using latrines. Illnesses
beyond their training, the barefoot doctors referred on to physicians
at commune health centers.
Ten years after the Cultural
Revolution, there were an estimated 1 million barefoot doctors in
China. In the 1970s, the World Health Organization and leaders in
some developing countries - even the Soviet Union - began to consider
China's program as an alternate model to Western-style health care.
They were looking for inexpensive ways to deliver health care to
rural populations; China had seemed to set up a successful model.
But the barefoot doctors program largely fell apart after
1979. The central government provided less financial support for the
program, and the country's emerging free-market system began forcing
farmers to pay for their health care. The World Health Organization
recently ranked China as fourth-worst out of 190 countries for
equality of health care. To correct the regression, the government
recently adopted an universal medical insurance program.
Yet
40 years after the program began, the program still holds allure and
lessons for health officials around the world looking for a solution
for inadequate rural health care. There is also recognition outside
of China that the country did go much further than other countries of
comparable wealth in reducing infectious diseases, such as polio,
smallpox and schistosomiasis during this period,
On a visit
in 1972, American doctor Victor Sidel praised the program for
supplying health care where previously there had been none; he also
singled out the barefoot doctors themselves for their role as patient
advocates.
Next: The Great Proletariat
Cultural Revolution
Henry C K Liu is
chairman of a New York-based private investment group. His website is
at http://www.henryckliu.com.